著書に基づくテスト «Spiral Dynamics:
Mastering Values, Leadership, and
Change» (ISBN-13: 978-1405133562)
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Psychological Analysis of Fear-Based Healthcare Messaging: Comparing HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 Through the Lens of Spiral Dynamics

Dr. Tomás Campbell [1], a member of the BPS Division of Clinical Psychology Faculty for HIV and Sexual Health, article "Towards more inclusive and Empowering Healthcare Campaigns" [2] presents a compelling analysis of the evolution of HIV/AIDS messaging over four decades, tracing a path from fear-based approaches to more empowering, inclusive strategies. This progression reflects significant advances in both medical understanding and psychological approaches to public health communication. 

The SDTEST® survey data on fears provides an excellent opportunity to examine how these evolving messaging strategies align with contemporary fear psychology and value systems as described by Spiral Dynamics theory.


Comparative Analysis of HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 Fear Prevalence


The SDTEST® survey "Fears" involving 3,679 participants across 105 countries reveals that HIV/AIDS now ranks relatively low at 4%, while COVID-19 ranks even lower at just 2%. Below is a abridged version of the survey results. The full results are available for free in the FAQ section after login or registration.


恐ろしい

言語
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Mail
再計算
相関係数の臨界値
ウィリアム・シーリー・ゴセット(学生)による正規分布 r = 0.0323
ウィリアム・シーリー・ゴセット(学生)による正規分布 r = 0.0323
スピアマンによる非正規分布 r = 0.0013
分布非正常非正常非正常普通普通普通普通普通
すべての質問
すべての質問
私の最大の恐れは
私の最大の恐れは
Answer 1-
弱いポジティブ
0.0517
弱いポジティブ
0.0335
弱いネガティブ
-0.0144
弱いポジティブ
0.0924
弱いポジティブ
0.0361
弱いネガティブ
-0.0178
弱いネガティブ
-0.1566
Answer 2-
弱いポジティブ
0.0185
弱いネガティブ
-0.0003
弱いネガティブ
-0.0430
弱いポジティブ
0.0638
弱いポジティブ
0.0473
弱いポジティブ
0.0137
弱いネガティブ
-0.0954
Answer 3-
弱いネガティブ
-0.0025
弱いネガティブ
-0.0108
弱いネガティブ
-0.0472
弱いネガティブ
-0.0463
弱いポジティブ
0.0485
弱いポジティブ
0.0797
弱いネガティブ
-0.0182
Answer 4-
弱いポジティブ
0.0408
弱いポジティブ
0.0285
弱いネガティブ
-0.0199
弱いポジティブ
0.0168
弱いポジティブ
0.0308
弱いポジティブ
0.0243
弱いネガティブ
-0.0964
Answer 5-
弱いポジティブ
0.0289
弱いポジティブ
0.1325
弱いポジティブ
0.0082
弱いポジティブ
0.0807
弱いネガティブ
-0.0002
弱いネガティブ
-0.0242
弱いネガティブ
-0.1779
Answer 6-
弱いネガティブ
-0.0044
弱いポジティブ
0.0099
弱いネガティブ
-0.0665
弱いネガティブ
-0.0093
弱いポジティブ
0.0213
弱いポジティブ
0.0859
弱いネガティブ
-0.0297
Answer 7-
弱いポジティブ
0.0108
弱いポジティブ
0.0398
弱いネガティブ
-0.0722
弱いネガティブ
-0.0287
弱いポジティブ
0.0490
弱いポジティブ
0.0677
弱いネガティブ
-0.0489
Answer 8-
弱いポジティブ
0.0646
弱いポジティブ
0.0833
弱いネガティブ
-0.0336
弱いポジティブ
0.0164
弱いポジティブ
0.0359
弱いポジティブ
0.0146
弱いネガティブ
-0.1348
Answer 9-
弱いポジティブ
0.0686
弱いポジティブ
0.1671
弱いポジティブ
0.0047
弱いポジティブ
0.0662
弱いネガティブ
-0.0117
弱いネガティブ
-0.0516
弱いネガティブ
-0.1776
Answer 10-
弱いポジティブ
0.0768
弱いポジティブ
0.0732
弱いネガティブ
-0.0211
弱いポジティブ
0.0269
弱いポジティブ
0.0323
弱いネガティブ
-0.0107
弱いネガティブ
-0.1296
Answer 11-
弱いポジティブ
0.0609
弱いポジティブ
0.0573
弱いネガティブ
-0.0061
弱いポジティブ
0.0082
弱いポジティブ
0.0206
弱いポジティブ
0.0240
弱いネガティブ
-0.1222
Answer 12-
弱いポジティブ
0.0417
弱いポジティブ
0.1008
弱いネガティブ
-0.0386
弱いポジティブ
0.0373
弱いポジティブ
0.0306
弱いポジティブ
0.0247
弱いネガティブ
-0.1514
Answer 13-
弱いポジティブ
0.0661
弱いポジティブ
0.1024
弱いネガティブ
-0.0437
弱いポジティブ
0.0280
弱いポジティブ
0.0431
弱いポジティブ
0.0157
弱いネガティブ
-0.1609
Answer 14-
弱いポジティブ
0.0717
弱いポジティブ
0.0988
弱いネガティブ
-0.0021
弱いネガティブ
-0.0056
弱いポジティブ
0.0026
弱いポジティブ
0.0094
弱いネガティブ
-0.1209
Answer 15-
弱いポジティブ
0.0532
弱いポジティブ
0.1345
弱いネガティブ
-0.0372
弱いポジティブ
0.0186
弱いネガティブ
-0.0174
弱いポジティブ
0.0212
弱いネガティブ
-0.1181
Answer 16-
弱いポジティブ
0.0664
弱いポジティブ
0.0282
弱いネガティブ
-0.0342
弱いネガティブ
-0.0409
弱いポジティブ
0.0637
弱いポジティブ
0.0252
弱いネガティブ
-0.0748


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This modest fear prevalence contrasts sharply with the historical positioning of HIV/AIDS as a primary existential threat during the 1980s-90s. As the article aptly notes, early HIV/AIDS campaigns relied heavily on fear-based messaging, leveraging protection-motivation theory to drive behavioral change through graphic depictions of mortality and disease. The current survey results suggest these diseases have been partially normalized in the public consciousness, supporting the article's observation that medical advancements have transformed HIV from a death sentence to a manageable chronic condition.


When examining broader fear contexts, it's noteworthy that personal concerns about "illness of relatives and children" (11%) and general "illness" (8%) outrank specific disease fears like HIV/AIDS or COVID-19. This pattern indicates that abstract illness threats generate more anxiety than particular diseases that have been subject to extensive public education campaigns. This finding aligns with the article's discussion of how healthcare messaging has evolved toward destigmatization and normalization, particularly for HIV/AIDS.


Spiral Dynamics Correlations: Understanding Value Systems and Fear Responses


The correlation data between disease fears and Spiral Dynamics stages provides fascinating insights into how different value systems engage with health threats. HIV/AIDS shows a positive correlation (0.0662) with Orange-level thinking, which represents achievement-oriented, strategic value systems. This alignment makes psychological sense, as Orange thinking prioritizes personal agency and risk management. Individuals operating from this value system may respond more actively to diseases perceived as consequences of personal behavior choices.


Conversely, HIV/AIDS fears correlate negatively with Yellow (-0.0516) and more strongly with Turquoise (-0.1776) value systems. These second-tier thinking systems in Spiral Dynamics represent more complex, integrative worldviews that may contextualize disease within a broader systemic understanding. The stronger negative correlation with Turquoise thinking is particularly notable, as this holistic perspective tends to integrate mortality and vulnerability into a comprehensive worldview, potentially reducing fear responses to specific conditions.


For COVID-19, the correlation pattern differs significantly. The positive correlation with Green thinking (0.0637) suggests that communitarian, egalitarian value systems may experience heightened concern about highly communicable diseases that threaten community well-being. This aligns with the article's discussion of how modern healthcare campaigns increasingly emphasize collective responsibility and community protection. The negative correlations with Blue (-0.0342), Orange (-0.0409), and Turquoise (-0.0748) value systems suggest varied psychological responses across the spiral.


Implications for Evolving Healthcare Messaging


The article chronicles a shift from fear-based campaigns toward empowerment and behavioral strategies, noting how psychological frameworks like self-efficacy theory and social norm theory have informed this evolution. The SDTEST® data supports the efficacy of this shift by demonstrating relatively low fear ratings for HIV/AIDS despite its historical stigma. This suggests that destigmatizing, empowering messaging approaches may have successfully normalized the condition in public consciousness.


The varying correlations between fears and Spiral Dynamics stages also validate the article's emphasis on intersectionality and tailored messaging. Different value systems appear to process disease threats through distinct psychological frameworks, which has significant implications for public health communication. The article notes that "campaigns are now much more carefully designed to address diverse populations," which aligns with the need to consider value system diversity in designing effective interventions.


Advancing Psychologically Informed Healthcare Communications


The relatively weak correlation between disease fears and specific Spiral Dynamics stages (with the critical value of the correlation coefficient for a normal distribution, by William Sealy Gosset (Student) r = 0.0323) suggests that fears of HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 transcend value systems but manifest differently within them. This finding supports the article's conclusion that messaging must "remain effective, compassionate, and mindful of nuance." The positive correlation between HIV/AIDS fears and Orange thinking, contrasted with COVID-19's positive correlation with Green thinking, demonstrates how different diseases activate different value concerns.


The article's discussion of digital and social media platforms as vectors for modern healthcare messaging presents opportunities for even more targeted value-specific communications. Understanding the psychological frameworks through which different Spiral Dynamics stages process health information could enable micro-targeted campaigns that resonate more effectively with diverse audiences. For instance, messaging aimed at Orange-dominant thinkers might emphasize personal agency and achievement in health management, while Green-focused messaging might highlight community protection and collective responsibility.


Conclusion


The evolution of HIV/AIDS messaging described in the article reflects a sophisticated understanding of psychological principles, moving from protection-motivation theory toward self-efficacy and social norm approaches. The SDTEST® data validates this progression by showing relatively modest contemporary fear responses to HIV/AIDS despite its historical stigmatization. The correlation patterns between disease fears and Spiral Dynamics stages provide valuable insights for further refining healthcare communications to resonate with different value systems.


The comparative data between HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 fears, particularly their different correlation patterns with Spiral Dynamics stages, suggests that disease characteristics interact with value systems to produce distinct psychological responses. As the article argues, effective healthcare campaigns must continue to evolve based on evidence rather than prejudice. The SDTEST® data offers this evidence, demonstrating how fears of specific conditions correlate with different psychological frameworks and value systems.


This integration of fear psychology, mathematical correlation, and Spiral Dynamics theory provides a robust foundation for developing increasingly sophisticated, psychologically informed healthcare messaging strategies that can effectively engage diverse populations across the spiral of human development.



Sources

[1] https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-campbell-40202785/
[2] https://www.bps.org.uk/blog/towards-more-inclusive-and-empowering-healthcare-campaigns


2025.02.28
Valerii Kosenko
プロダクトオーナー SaaS SDTEST®

ヴァレリーは 1993 年に社会教育心理学者の資格を取得し、それ以来その知識をプロジェクト管理に応用してきました。
Valerii は、2013 年に修士号とプロジェクトおよびプログラム マネージャーの資格を取得しました。修士課程中に、プロジェクト ロードマップ (GPM Deutsche Gesellschaft für Projektmanagement e. V.) とスパイラル ダイナミクスに精通しました。
Valerii は、V.U.C.A の不確実性を探求した本の著者です。スパイラルダイナミクスと心理学の数学的統計を使用したコンセプト、および 38 の国際世論調査。
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